Websites About
the Future
|
One
use of social change research is to use the data, research and
theory to understand the future. These are a few sites
relating to understanding the future.
Organizations
The Institute for the Future (IF) at Anne Arundel Community
College seeks to be the local information and training source for
information on the future.
http://www.aacc.edu/future/default.cfm
They have a list of other
futures organizations http://www.aacc.edu/future/organizations.cfm
some
of
which are listed below.
The Institute for the Future (IFTF) http://www.iftf.org/ is an independent
nonprofit research group. We work with organizations of all
kinds to help them make better, more informed decisions about
the future. (My link checker says this link doesn't
work, but it does.)
The Centre for Future Studies http://www.futurestudies.co.uk/home.htm
Copenhagen Institute for Futures Studies. http://www.cifs.dk/
The Frederick S. Pardee Center for the Study of the Longer Range
Future. http://www.bu.edu/pardee/
for
the
study of longer range future. They have some interesting lectures
(as videos).
The RAND Frederick S. Pardee Center for Longer Range Global Policy
and the Future Human Condition http://www.rand.org/international_programs/pardee/futures.html
"The RAND Pardee Center pursues ambitious objectives: to
improve our ability to think about the longer-range future--from 35
to as far as 200 years ahead--and to develop new methods of
analyzing potential long-range, global effects of today's policy
options in order to design sound policies that are sensitive to
those effects."
Both of the above were made possible by funding from, well,
Frederick S. Pardee. Strange coincidence, isn't it?
Future of Humanity Institute http://www.fhi.ox.ac.uk/
"The
Future
of Humanity Institute aims to become humanity's best effort at
understanding and evaluating its own long-term prospects."
Hawaii Research Center for Futures Studies
(HRCFS) http://www.futures.hawaii.edu/
"It serves as a futures research arm for public agencies,
private groups, and individuals who require assistance in
locating future-oriented information or experts."
World Future Society http://www.wfs.org/
The
World Future Society is an association of people interested in how
social and technological developments are shaping the future. The
Society strives to serve as a neutral clearinghouse for ideas about
the future.
Some Forecasts
The UN also has a population prospects database http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/index.htm
where you can select forecasts for world, regions, etc.
Ten Trends Reshaping the Global Landscape http://www.worldtrendsresearch.com/major-trends.php
by Van Wishard, World Trends Research
The Director of National
Intelligence http://www.dni.gov/
has these
Global Trends http://www.dni.gov/index.php/about/organization/national-intelligence-council-global-trends
has sets of global trends population reports
Research
or
essays on Forecasting
Shaping the Next One Hundred Years: New Methods for Quantitative,
Long-Term Policy Analysis. Robert J. Lempert, Steven Popper, and
Steven C. Bankes.
http://www.rand.org/pubs/monograph_reports/MR1626.html
From Rand, "New analytic methods, enabled by modern
computers, transform our ability to reason about the future. The
authors here demonstrate a quantitative approach to long-term policy
analysis (LTPA)."
Nico Keilman http://folk.uio.no/keilman/
has
some
publications about population forecasting.
Revisiting Useful Approaches to Data-Rich Macroeconomic
Forecasting http://www.newyorkfed.org/research/staff_reports/sr327.html
May
2008
Number 327, Revised October 2008, Jan J. J. Groen and George
Kapetanios. Revised September 2009
Principals
of
forecasting (more shorter term)
Forecasting: principles and practice http://otexts.com/fpp/
An online textbook by Rob J Hyndman and George Athanasopoulos. Both
are faculty at Monash University.
Forecasting Principles http://www.academia.edu/1053702/Forecasting_Principles
by Kesten Green, Andreas Graefe and J. Scott Armstrong. Working
paper. This was a chapter in In: Lovric, M. (2011). International
Encyclopedia of Statistical Science, Berlin: Springer, pp. 527-534.
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last updated and checked 11/23/13