Brief Review of Trends in
World Infant Mortality Rate
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First Copyright November 2011. May be used provided
proper citation is given. See note at bottom.
This report focuses on one demographic trend: infant mortality rate (IMR). IMR is
a good general indicator of health for a country. Other
indicators can be combined for more comprehensive analysis of
health conditions of a country, but IMR is a good place to
start. In this report we look at levels of IMR and changes in
IMR over time. We also look at change in IMR inequality,
which is an indicator differences in IMR between regions. Change
in IMR inequality over time is another way to compare regions,
so that we see not only whether regions changed, but how they
changed compared to other regions.
The basic findings of this report are that IMR is highest in
Africa and Asia, lowest in Western Europe and Northern America,
that IMR declined everywhere, but most in Europe and least in
Sub-Saharan Africa, that inequality between regions increased
for some of the time but in the most recent decade has
decreased, and that inequality within most regions (except for
Western Europe) has been increasing among the countries with
highest and lowest IMR.
Level of
IMR (Chart 1, Table 1)
- Sub-Saharan
Africa and Northern Africa had the highest IMR in 1950-1955 (177 and 184
infant deaths per 1,000 births, respectively). By 2005-2010,
IMR in Sub-Saharan Africa was still the highest (85
infant deaths per 1,000 births). IMR in Northern
Africa is now the second highest (37 infant
deaths per 1,000 births), although much lower than
IMR in Sub-Saharan Africa.
- Asia
had the next
highest IMR in 1950-1955 (145 infant deaths per 1,000
births). By 2005-2010, IMR in Asia (41
deaths per 1,000 births) was similar to IMR in
Northern Africa.
- Latin
America and the Caribbean also had a high IMR in 1950-1955
(127 infant deaths per 1,000 births). By
2005-2010, IMR in Latin America and the Caribbean
was much more moderate (22 deaths per 1,000
births).
- Northern
America and Western Europe had the lowest IMR in
1950-1955 (31 and 45 infant deaths per 1,000 births,
respectively).
In 2005-2010, IMR in Northern America and Western Europe were
still the lowest (7 and 4 infant deaths per 1,000
births).
Declines
in IMR (Chart 1, Table 2)
In all regions, IMR declined. However, IMR declined the most in Europe, next most in
the Americas and in North Africa, and least in Sub-Saharan
Africa.
- IMR for Eastern and Western Europe declined by 89% and
91%, respectively.
- IMR for Latin America and the Caribbean, Northern
Africa and Northern America declined by 83%, 80% and 77%,
respectively.
- IMR for Asia declined by 72%.
- IMR for Sub-Saharan Africa only declined by 52%,
slightly over half, from 177 to 85.
IMR Inequality (Between regions.
Chart 2, Table 3).
- Because IMR declined much more in Europe and Northern
America than it did in Sub-Saharan Africa, the difference
between IMR in Sub-Saharan Africa and Europe/Northern
America (IMR inequality)
increased quite a bit, until the most recent decade, when IMR inequality has been
declining, probably because IMR in Northern America
did not change during that time, while IMR in other regions
continued to decline.
- In 1950-1955, IMR in Sub-Saharan Africa and Northern
Africa were about six
times as high as the IMR in Northern America.
- By 1980-1985, IMR in Northern Africa was about eight times
the IMR in Northern America but by 2005-2010, declined to
about five
times as high.
- By 1995-2000, IMR in Sub-Saharan Africa was fifteen times
the IMR in Northern America, but by 2005-2010, declined
to twelve times
as high.
- IMR inequality between Northern America and other regions increased slightly from
1950-1955 through some time in the 1980s or 1990s, and then
IMR inequality has been
declining since 1990-2000, probably
because IMR in Northern America did not change during that
time.
- The ratio of IMR in Asia to IMR in
Northern America increased slightly from just under five
in 1950-1955 to 7.4
in 1995-2000, and has since been declining.
- The ratio of IMR in Eastern Europe to
IMR in Northern America declined slightly, but declining sharply
since 1995-2000.
- The ratio of IMR in Latin America and the
Caribbean to IMR in Northern America increased
slightly from four in 1950-1955 to five in 1980-1985, and
has since been
declining, especially in the last decade.
- The ratio of IMR in Western Europe to IMR
in Northern America declined a little, changing from 1.5 in
1950-1955 to 0.6
in 2005-2010.
IMR
Inequality (Within regions. Table 4).
Comparing countries with the highest and lowest
IMR shows:
- Within regions,
IMR varies from country to
country by quite a lot.
- In every
region except Western Europe, IMR inequality increased over
time, at least among the countries with highest and
lowest IMR. (Didn't show comparisons for
Northern Africa and Northern America because there were
too few countries in those regions.)
- In Western
Europe, IMR inequality decreased.
- In Asia, in 1950-1955, Afghanistan,
Timor-Leste and Iran had IMR more than four times
as high as the IMR in Israel, Japan, Singapore
and Hong Kong.
- By 2005-2010, Pakistan, Timor-Leste and
Cambodia had IMR more than twenty times as high as the
IMR in Singapore, Hong Kong and Japan, while IMR in
Afghanistan had IMR more than forty times as high.
- In Eastern Europe, in 1950-1955,
the areas that would become Albania, Macedonia and Bosnia
and Herzegovina had IMR around two to three times
that of the areas that would become Czech Republic,
Slovenia and Latvia.
- By 2005-2010, Albania,
Moldova and Macedonia had IMR three to five times
that of IMR in Czech Republic, Slovenia and
Hungary.
- In Latin America and the Caribbean, in
1950-1955, Nicaragua, Honduras,
Bolivia and Peru had IMR almost three times
that of Uruguay, Virgin Islands, U.S., Grenada, Puerto
Rico, Argentina. IMR in Haiti was about four times as
high as IMR in Uruguay, Virgin Islands, U.S.,
Grenada, Puerto Rico, Argentina.
- By 2005-2010, Bolivia and Guyana had
IMR more than five
times that of Cuba, Chile and Puerto Rico. Again,
Haiti had an IMR close to six times that of Cuba,
Chile and Puerto Rico.
- In Oceania, in 1950-1955,Vanuatu,
Papua New Guinea and the Solomon Islands had IMR more than
five times
that of Australia and New Zealand.
- By 2005-2010, Papua
New Guinea and the Solomon Islands had IMR ten times as
high as IMR in Australia, New Caledonia and New Zealand.
- In Sub-Saharan Africa, in 1950-1955,
Burkina Faso, Sierra Leone, Angola, Liberia and Djibouti
had IMR more than two times that of South America,
Mauritius and Zimbabwe.
- By 2005-2010, Chad, Guinea-Bissau,
Congo (Kinshasa), Sierra Leone and Somalia had IMR more
than five times
that of Mayotte, Mauritius and Cape Verde.
- In Western Europe, in 1950-1955, Spain,
Italy, Greece and Austria had IMRs about three times
that of Sweden, Iceland, Norway and Netherlands.
- By 2005-2010, Malta, United Kingdom,
Greece, Portugal and the Netherlands had IMR about twice that of
Iceland, Luxembourg, Sweden and Finland.
Appendix 1: Charts
and tables
Charts
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Chart 1
Source: World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, United
Nations Population Division, UN Data, http://data.un.org
Chart 2
Source: World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, United
Nations Population Division, UN Data, http://data.un.org
Tables
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Table 1
Infant mortality rates by region
|
1950- 1955 |
1955- 1960 |
1960- 1965 |
1965- 1970 |
1970- 1975 |
1975- 1980 |
1980- 1985 |
1985- 1990 |
1990- 1995 |
1995- 2000 |
2000- 2005 |
2005- 2010 |
Asia |
145 |
135 |
127 |
97 |
87 |
82 |
72 |
63 |
57 |
52 |
46 |
41 |
Eastern Europe |
91 |
58 |
40 |
33 |
28 |
27 |
23 |
21 |
19 |
17 |
14 |
10 |
Latin America and the
Caribbean |
127 |
113 |
101 |
91 |
81 |
69 |
57 |
47 |
38 |
32 |
26 |
22 |
Northern Africa |
184 |
172 |
159 |
145 |
130 |
111 |
92 |
78 |
66 |
54 |
43 |
37 |
Northern America |
31 |
28 |
26 |
23 |
18 |
14 |
11 |
10 |
9 |
7 |
7 |
7 |
Sub-Saharan Africa |
177 |
164 |
152 |
142 |
131 |
122 |
116 |
112 |
109 |
104 |
94 |
85 |
Western Europe |
45 |
34 |
26 |
21 |
18 |
13 |
10 |
8 |
6 |
5 |
4 |
4 |
Source: World Population Prospects:
The 2010 Revision, United Nations Population Division, UN Data,
http://data.un.org
Table 2
Percent decline in IMR from 1950-1955 to 2005-2010
|
1950-
1955 |
2005-2010 |
Percent
Decline |
Asia |
145 |
41 |
71.7% |
Eastern Europe |
91 |
10 |
89.0% |
Latin America and the
Caribbean |
127 |
22 |
82.7% |
Northern Africa |
184 |
37 |
79.9% |
Northern America |
31 |
7 |
77.4% |
Sub-Saharan Africa |
177 |
85 |
52.0% |
Western Europe |
45 |
4 |
91.1% |
Source: World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, United
Nations Population Division, UN Data,
http://data.un.org
Additional calculations by Dr. Shackman
Table 3
Ratio of IMR in that region to IMR in North America
|
1950-
1955 |
1955-
1960 |
1960-
1965 |
1965-
1970 |
1970-
1975 |
1975-
1980 |
1980-
1985 |
1985-
1990 |
1990-
1995 |
1995-
2000 |
2000-
2005 |
2005-
2010 |
Asia |
4.7 |
4.8 |
4.9 |
4.2 |
4.8 |
5.9 |
6.5 |
6.3 |
6.3 |
7.4 |
6.6 |
5.9 |
Eastern Europe |
2.9 |
2.1 |
1.5 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
1.9 |
2.1 |
2.1 |
2.1 |
2.4 |
2.0 |
1.4 |
Latin America and
the Caribbean |
4.1 |
4.0 |
3.9 |
4.0 |
4.5 |
4.9 |
5.2 |
4.7 |
4.2 |
4.6 |
3.7 |
3.1 |
Northern Africa |
5.9 |
6.1 |
6.1 |
6.3 |
7.2 |
7.9 |
8.4 |
7.8 |
7.3 |
7.7 |
6.1 |
5.3 |
Sub-Saharan Africa |
5.7 |
5.9 |
5.8 |
6.2 |
7.3 |
8.7 |
10.5 |
11.2 |
12.1 |
14.9 |
13.4 |
12.1 |
Western Europe |
1.5 |
1.2 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
Source: World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, United
Nations Population Division, UN Data,
http://data.un.org
Additional calculations by Dr. Shackman
Table 4
IMR in selected countries
Highest / lowest for that region
|
1950-1955 |
|
|
2005-2010 |
Asia, highest IMR, in 1950-1955 and
in 2005-2010 |
Afghanistan |
275.0 |
|
Afghanistan |
136.0 |
Timor-Leste |
264.4 |
|
Pakistan |
70.9 |
Iran
|
262.1 |
|
Timor-Leste |
66.8 |
Maldives |
233.4 |
|
Cambodia |
62.4 |
Yemen |
215.1 |
|
Tajikistan |
56.0 |
Asia, lowest IMR, in 1950-1955 and in
2005-2010 |
Israel |
38.9 |
|
Singapore |
1.9 |
Japan |
50.1 |
|
Hong Kong SAR |
2.0 |
Singapore |
60.7 |
|
Japan |
2.6 |
Hong Kong SAR |
61.8 |
|
Korea, Republic of Korea |
3.8 |
Cyprus |
65.1 |
|
Israel |
3.8 |
Eastern
Europe, highest IMR, in 1950-1955 and in 2005-2010 |
Albania |
145.0 |
|
Albania |
18.3 |
Macedonia |
140.0 |
|
Moldova |
15.5 |
Bosnia and Herzegovina |
137.2 |
|
Macedonia |
14.7 |
Serbia |
109.5 |
|
Romania |
13.9 |
Croatia |
108.4 |
|
Bosnia and
Herzegovina |
13.4 |
Eastern Europe, lowest IMR,
in 1950-1955 and in 2005-2010 |
Czech Republic |
43.9 |
|
Czech
Republic |
3.2 |
Slovenia |
67.2 |
|
Slovenia |
3.5 |
Latvia |
67.5 |
|
Hungary |
5.8 |
Hungary |
71.9 |
|
Croatia |
6.0 |
Slovakia |
73.9 |
|
Poland |
6.1 |
Latin America and the Caribbean,
highest IMR, in 1950-1955 and in 2005-2010 |
Haiti |
241.7 |
|
Haiti |
63.1 |
Nicaragua |
179.9 |
|
Bolivia |
45.6 |
Honduras |
176.2 |
|
Guyana |
41.7 |
Bolivia |
175.7 |
|
Caribbean |
34.8 |
Peru |
163.8 |
|
Paraguay |
32.0 |
Latin America and the Caribbean,
highest IMR, in 1950-1955 and in 2005-2010 |
Uruguay |
57.4 |
|
Cuba |
5.1 |
Virgin Islands, U.S. |
57.5 |
|
Chile |
7.2 |
Grenada |
60.6 |
|
Puerto Rico |
7.6 |
Puerto Rico |
63.4 |
|
Costa Rica |
9.9 |
Argentina |
65.9 |
|
Virgin Islands, U.S. |
10.6 |
Northern
Africa, all countries, IMR, in 1950-1955 and in 2005-2010 |
Western Sahara |
216.9 |
|
Western
Sahara |
44.1 |
Egypt |
201.5 |
|
Morocco |
34.1 |
Algeria |
185.0 |
|
Egypt |
25.9 |
Libya |
185.0 |
|
Algeria |
25.0 |
Tunisia |
175.0 |
|
Tunisia |
20.8 |
Morocco |
170.0 |
|
Libya |
15.0 |
Oceania, highest IMR, in 1950-1955
and in 2005-2010 |
Vanuatu |
169.7 |
|
Papua New Guinea |
50.1 |
Papua New Guinea |
157.8 |
|
Solomon Islands |
42.9 |
Solomon Islands |
146.2 |
|
Micronesia (Fed. States) |
34.9 |
New Caledonia |
117.7 |
|
Vanuatu |
28.7 |
Samoa |
107.3 |
|
Samoa |
22.4 |
Oceania, lowest IMR, in 1950-1955 and
in 2005-2010 |
Australia |
24.1 |
|
Australia |
4.7 |
New Zealand |
26.3 |
|
New Caledonia |
4.8 |
Tonga |
58.9 |
|
New Zealand |
5.1 |
Fiji |
64.3 |
|
Guam |
8.9 |
Guam |
82.9 |
|
French Guiana |
14.0 |
Sub-Saharan
Africa, highest IMR, in 1950-1955 and in 2005-2010 |
Burkina Faso |
307.9 |
|
Chad |
131.2 |
Sierra Leone |
242.4 |
|
Guinea-Bissau |
118.7 |
Angola |
230.5 |
|
Congo,
Kinshasa. Dem. Rep |
115.8 |
Liberia |
223.7 |
|
Sierra
Leone |
113.7 |
Djibouti |
222.5 |
|
Somalia |
106.7 |
Sub-Saharan
Africa, lowest IMR, in 1950-1955 and in 2005-2010 |
South Africa |
96.1 |
|
Mayotte |
5.9 |
Mauritius |
103.1 |
|
Mauritius |
12.8 |
Zimbabwe |
114.5 |
|
Cape Verde |
20.6 |
Sao Tome and Principe |
124.1 |
|
Namibia |
37.8 |
Senegal |
131.4 |
|
Botswana |
40.7 |
Western Europe, highest IMR, in
1950-1955 and in 2005-2010 |
Portugal |
92.8 |
|
Malta |
5.8 |
Spain |
63.9 |
|
United Kingdom |
4.9 |
Italy |
60.4 |
|
Greece |
4.6 |
Greece |
60.0 |
|
Portugal |
4.5 |
Austria |
55.1 |
|
Netherlands |
4.4 |
Western Europe, lowest IMR, in
1950-1955 and in 2005-2010 |
Sweden |
19.5 |
|
Iceland |
2.1 |
Iceland |
21.3 |
|
Luxembourg |
2.3 |
Norway |
22.4 |
|
Sweden |
2.6 |
Netherlands |
23.0 |
|
Finland |
2.8 |
Denmark |
28.3 |
|
Norway |
3.0 |
Northern America, IMR, in 1950-1955
and in 2005-2010 |
Canada |
38.4 |
|
Canada |
5.2 |
United States of
America |
30.5 |
|
United States of America |
6.8 |
Source: World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, United
Nations Population Division, UN Data,
http://data.un.org
Appendix 2.
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A. Comparisons with reports
from other sources
A number of other reports also describe data or trends about
demographics, births and deaths. Some of these reports
include:
Beyond Economic Growth Student Book, III. World Population Growth,
from the World Bank http://www.worldbank.org/depweb/english/beyond/global/chapter3.html
also here http://www.worldbank.org/depweb/beyond/beyondco/beg_03.pdf
Population change at regional level. Statistics Explained. European
Commission http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/statistics_explained/index.php/Population_change_at_regional_level
B. Data
World Population Prospects: The 2010
Revision, United Nations Population Division, UN Data, http://data.un.org
Prepared by Gene Shackman, Wang Xun
and Ya-Lin Liu
Copyright December 2011
Data are from the UN and people need to see follow their guidelines
as well, see http://data.un.org/Host.aspx?Content=UNdataUse
Basically, if you use the tables or charts in our
report, you have to say the data are from the UN. If you are just
citing or summarizing our report, just reference our report.
May be used provided proper
citation is given.
Cite as
Shackman, Gene, Xun Wang and Ya-Lin
Liu. 2011. Brief Review of Trends in World Infant Mortality Rate.
The Global Social Change Research Project. Available at
http://gsociology.icaap.org/report/demsumIMR.html
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